The JennCast forecast range is from Thursday (12:01 AM) until Sunday (12:00 PM.) A complex Noreaster, moving back from NY into Northeast PA will bring snow and strong winds into Western Pennsylvania and West Virginia Thursday throughout the entire weekend. The storm will reach its chief intensity during the day on Friday when sustained winds will approach blizzard warning criteria levels. Sustained winds will range between 25-30mph with gusts likely to exceed 50mph. Models have shown a fair amount of discrepancies between each run over the last two days therefore there is not a high degree of certainty in terms of snow accumulation, particularly in the Pittsburgh metro area. Current thinking is as follows:

• Pittsburgh Metro – 6-12”
• Morgantown, Southwest PA, and Westmoreland County:  8-16”
• Higher elevations in the Laurel Highlands and West Virginia: 1-3’

The caveat I will add is that there is the potential for both Pittsburgh and Morgantown to receive significantly more than is currently forecasted.

Icicles form on my neighbors' house.

We have had snow everyday since Dec. 27 – AWESOME!!! I picked that little piece of info up from the Nightline piece tonight where they featured Accuweather.

Looks like Sunday may be the break in the action for snow, but I’d love to see some stray lake effect snow to keep our run going.

Next week we may/may not have a warm up at the end of the week before the potential big storm. It seemed tonight like Joe Bastardi was backing away from a warm-up, but the way he writes is hard to follow sometimes. That’s not a slam…I am a big fan.

The storm next week is crazytown!!!! Double barreled-low heading North juiced up from the Gulf of Mexico. I can’t help but wonder where those 2 lows will meld into one magnificent low, the likes of which we haven’t seen since….well, you know when.

But that storm isn’t it. Remember how ealrier I said January is one parade of storms,? January seems to stay cold with one storm beating on the door while the previous one makes its exit -unbelievable…I might get a nice storm on or around my birthday for a change. Something I haven’t seen since my 15th birthday!!! We got sent home early from school-who forgets that??

The weather has certainly been exciting and we are not through! The historic Blizzard of 09 disrupted weekend plans for millions, left travellers stranded, and others delighted dumping snow all of the way up the Eastern Seaboard in a pre-Christmas storm that will be remembered for years. In Pittsburgh, we enjoyed six inches of lovely, white snow.

Christmas is coming and so is another storm. Forecast models are calling for a Northeast ice event but seasoned meteorologists have cautioned us to be slow to jump to conclusions about the temperatures. There is enough evidence to give us reasonable hope that instead of ice, we could have a lovely Christmas snowstorm.

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http://forums.accuweather.com/uploads/post-2-1261068767.jpg

We have a beauty of a storm coming in time for Christmas. Check out the latest run of the GFS model.

The last two runs have the storm forming a secondary low pressure system off the coast. This should resolve the temperature issues and set up a storm that could very well be a Christmas blizzard. I would love to see a weather map of Christmas 1978. This storm really reminds of what I can remember from that Christmas.

Ice…ice…ice. Roads and bridges remain closed as ice continues to form in Pittsburgh. Although air temperatures are hovering above freezing, surface temps are much lower, wreaking havoc on area roadways. walking is equally as hazardous. The first step could be your last. I nearly wiped out when I ventured out to spread ice-melt.

Temperatures are expected to reach 30 degrees later today but return to below freezing on Tuesday. The freezing temperatures will remain past Christmas and we can expect temperatures anywhere from 10 to 20 degrees below our normal December temperatures in Western PA.

An Alberta Clipper has bwen appearing on the forecast models for next weekend and an amazing storm has shown up for the period around Christmas weekend. Here is what it looked like on this mornings run of the GFS (6z).

The weathermen seem to be agreeing that the next two weeks will bring a series of significant snow storms from East to West. Above is an early map from Accuweather’s Meteomadness blogger, Henry Margusity.

I can always hope for a “white birthday”.

Though he hates the rain, he loves the snow

 The first of the 16 day models are in and we are seeing the first of what will be a flipping and flopping of forecasts, but…it does call for a Christmas Eve /Day snowstorm in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic!!!!